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Analysis of the match between Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester City
Tottenham made a big splash in the Champions League by beating Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 away from home in the final match of the 2025/26 league phase. This victory helped Spurs finish in the top four, earning direct qualification for the knockout stage without having to go through the play-offs. However, their impressive European form contrasts sharply with their disappointing performances in the Premier League. Since the start of the new year, the North London side have gone five consecutive league matches without a single win.
In the most recent round, Tottenham took the lead but had to rely on a late equaliser from Cristian Romero to secure a 2-2 draw against Burnley, who are currently second from bottom in the standings. Although they avoided a third straight defeat, Spurs are now languishing in 14th place — a position far from befitting a “big six” club.
Hosting Manchester City at this time is more of a burden than an advantage for Tottenham, especially given head coach Thomas Frank’s poor home record. Statistics show that in the last 22 Premier League home matches managed by Frank, his teams have recorded just four wins.
Looking closer, his home results have remained virtually unchanged from his final period at Brentford to his early days at Tottenham. Across his last 11 home games with Brentford and first 11 at Spurs, he managed only two wins, three draws and six defeats. An average of just 0.82 points per home game makes Frank the Tottenham manager with the worst home record in Premier League history.
Based on these facts, it is difficult to believe Tottenham can withstand Manchester City, who are locked in a fierce title race with Arsenal. Although Pep Guardiola has suffered eight Premier League defeats against Spurs, City’s superior quality should be enough to extend Tottenham’s miserable home run.
